Will the Gov. Scott Walker Recall Attempt Succeed?
Recall organizers will start Nov. 15 to try and gather 540,000 signatures from registered voters within 60 days.
We all know groups of angry voters, mostly Democrats, will attempt to recall Gov. Scott Walker starting Nov. 15. What we don't know: Will they succeed?
Sheer numbers suggest a massive challenge. Recall proponents need to gather 540,000 signatures within 60 days to force Walker into a recall election roughly halfway through his four-year term as governor. That's 9,000 signatures from registered voters statewide per day, 375 per hour, or about 6 per minute.
Aside from the logistical difficulties of gathering half a million signatures - including another 540,000 to recall Lt. Gov. Rebecca Kleefisch - recall supporters may simply run out of support.
A poll from the Wisconsin Policy Research Institute on Oct. 31 found Wisconsinites split over whether Walker should be recalled.
And even if recall supporters succeed in gathering the signatures, it's no guarantee they'll vote Walker out of office. The governor gets to raise unlimited campaign funds during the recall attempt, which will give him an advantage over possible Democratic opponents.
The wild card? A down economy with high unemployment could leave incumbents from both parties vulnerable.